FORECASTING AND OPTIMIZATION OF FOREIGN INVESTMENT THROUGH ECONOMIC ACTIVITY (CASE STUDY OF THE BELGOROD REGION)

Munoz Andrade Luis Fernando
Belgorod State University
Postgraduate student

Abstract
The article describes a setup tasks of short-term forecasting of foreign investment in respect to the economy of the region on the basis of neural network forecasting model of double-layer perceptron and their further optimum allocation through economic activity of the region based on dynamical programming technique with the objective of ensuring maximum additional Gross Regional Product. The empirical framework for the approach of these tasks is a statistical time series through foreign investment in the Belgorod region. The resulting distribution of foreign investment through economic activity in the Belgorod region permits to increasing annual average Gross Regional Product approximately by 10% from the expected investment volume as of 2014 forecast, which is calculated on the basis of neural network model.

Keywords: region


Category: 08.00.00 Economics

Article reference:
Forecasting and optimization of foreign investment through economic activity (case study of the Belgorod region) // Modern scientific researches and innovations. 2015. № 3. P. 4 [Electronic journal]. URL: https://web.snauka.ru/en/issues/2015/03/50007

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