FORECASTING BANKRUPTCY OF COMMERCIAL BANKS

Goncharova I.A.1, Polykarpova M.G.2
1Magnitogorsk State Technical University named after G.I. Nosov, 5th year student of the Faculty of Economics and Law
2Magnitogorsk State Technical University named after G.I. Nosov, Associate Professor, PhD (Economics)

Abstract
After the economic crisis of 2008, an increased attention has been given to the probability of default of the bank. Evaluation of the probability is not only important for the bank, but also is very interesting for its customers. The complexity of the analysis of the bank for the customer is the limited information provided by the bank. The same bank can be analyzed by rapid analysis of its state - its easier to use a small amount of information. First, it will save time to gather information, and secondly, its processing and application of volumetric methods of calculation.
Therefore, Alexander Shemetev's method for commercial bank bankruptcy probability can be used as the most applicable method for bank bankruptcy probability estimation.

Keywords: bankruptcy, commercial banks


Category: 08.00.00 Economics

Article reference:
Forecasting bankruptcy of commercial banks // Modern scientific researches and innovations. 2013. № 5 [Electronic journal]. URL: https://web.snauka.ru/en/issues/2013/05/24466

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